Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

386.54 – 555.38

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

473 – 725

Prediction correct · off by 128 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 640.6 ±9.3

6413Degrees of Freedom

Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 133.97Rank 38Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6773Max Throttle Mavericks

Season APEX 218.1Event APEX 100.22Rank 57Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5572Rosbots

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 152.35Rank 40Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 779.7 ±8.7

5199Robot Dolphins From Outer Space

Season APEX 275.7Event APEX 228.33Rank 3Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5193Pantheon

Season APEX 275.3Event APEX 184.83Rank 12Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1024Kil-A-Bytes

Season APEX 228.7Event APEX 142.22Rank 36Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6413, 6773, 5572

/ 100 compat

Projected

386.5 pts

~1.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 6413, 6773, 5572

Auto

83.8 22%

Teleop

198.4 53%

Endgame

91.2 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5199, 5193, 1024

/ 100 compat

Projected

555.4 pts

~2.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 5199, 5193, 1024

Auto

87.0 16%

Teleop

301.1 55%

Endgame

159.5 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.05 · Blue 2.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score386.5pts

Blue projected score555.4pts

Red win probability11%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 23%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -168.8
Score range: 313–629
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1198 vs event baseline 413.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

640.6Season APEX779.7

83.8Auto87

198.4Teleop301.1

91.2Endgame159.5

194Consistency188

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	82	107
teleop	259	386
endgame	127	217
foul	5	15
total	473	725

Result

Final score

473 – 725

Prediction correct · off by 128 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.