Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

467.05 – 476.37

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

509 – 622

Prediction correct · off by 93.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 773 ±13.5

8575The Due Westerners

Season APEX 154.3Event APEX 73.62Rank 61Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5987Galaxia in memory of David Zohar

A+

Season APEX 327.4Event APEX 214.01Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

870TEAM R. I. C. E.

Season APEX 291.3Event APEX 179.42Rank 35Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 701.4 ±9.8

6800Valor

Season APEX 356Event APEX 268.64Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7565SESI SENAI ROBONÁTICOS

Season APEX 185.3Event APEX 112.24Rank 27Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2443Blue Thunder

Season APEX 160.1Event APEX 95.49Rank 31Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8575, 5987, 870

/ 100 compat

Projected

467.1 pts

~1.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 8575, 5987, 870

Auto

105.8 23%

Teleop

255.2 55%

Endgame

106.3 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6800, 7565, 2443

/ 100 compat

Projected

476.4 pts

~1.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 6800, 7565, 2443

Auto

71.2 15%

Teleop

272.1 59%

Endgame

118.6 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.62 · Blue 1.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score467.1pts

Blue projected score476.4pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 26%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -9.3
Score range: 393–550
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 1131 vs event baseline 411.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

773Season APEX701.4

105.8Auto71.2

255.2Teleop272.1

106.3Endgame118.6

177Consistency211

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	123	65
teleop	249	331
endgame	132	196
foul	5	30
total	509	622

Result

Final score

509 – 622

Prediction correct · off by 93.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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