Qualification · Qualification 62
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
271.74 – 284.45
46%54%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
247 – 368
Prediction correct · off by 54.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 482.8 ±9.9
Season APEX 220.9Event APEX 157.95Rank 28Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 155.6Event APEX 70.85Rank 70Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 106.3Event APEX 42.94Rank 74Record 0-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 644.3 ±8.7
Season APEX 205.3Event APEX 99.57Rank 66Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 214.2Event APEX 129.21Rank 45Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 224.8Event APEX 55.67Rank 55Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1714, 7567, 11167
49
/ 100 compatProjected
271.7 pts
~1.5 RP (championship)
Teams: 1714, 7567, 11167
Auto
87.2 32%
Teleop
79.6 29%
Endgame
104.3 38%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 14%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10349, 1477, 2637
61
/ 100 compatProjected
284.5 pts
~1.7 RP (championship)
Teams: 10349, 1477, 2637
Auto
67.9 24%
Teleop
144.5 51%
Endgame
72.4 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 14%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.48 · Blue 1.66
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score271.7pts
Blue projected score284.5pts
Red win probability46%
Event bonus sample278alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 40%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 10%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -12.7
- Score range
- 198–358
- Upset likelihood
- 46%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
482.8Season APEX644.3
87.2Auto67.9
79.6Teleop144.5
104.3Endgame72.4
158Consistency179
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 72 | 112 |
| teleop | 132 | 201 |
| endgame | 43 | 55 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 247 | 368 |
Result
Final score
247 – 368
Prediction correct · off by 54.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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