Qualification · Qualification 57
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
482.77 – 416.81
69%31%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
492 – 445
Prediction correct · off by 18.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 926 ±10.7
Season APEX 323.7Event APEX 201.47Rank 5Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 246.2Event APEX 58.71Rank 73Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 222.59Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 736.3 ±10.4
Season APEX 291.9Event APEX 129.5Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 236.3Event APEX 116.21Rank 42Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 208.1Event APEX 171.1Rank 44Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1987, 11304, 5460
77
/ 100 compatProjected
482.8 pts
~2.2 RP (championship)
Teams: 1987, 11304, 5460
Auto
101.6 21%
Teleop
250.7 52%
Endgame
133.0 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 20%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9068, 59, 6497
68
/ 100 compatProjected
416.8 pts
~1.4 RP (championship)
Teams: 9068, 59, 6497
Auto
55.5 14%
Teleop
240.5 59%
Endgame
112.5 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 20%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.16 · Blue 1.44
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score482.8pts
Blue projected score416.8pts
Red win probability69%
Event bonus sample278alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 63%
Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 19%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 66
- Score range
- 343–557
- Upset likelihood
- 31%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
926Season APEX736.3
101.6Auto55.5
250.7Teleop240.5
133Endgame112.5
151Consistency166
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 105 | 71 |
| teleop | 312 | 280 |
| endgame | 70 | 79 |
| foul | 5 | 15 |
| total | 492 | 445 |
Result
Final score
492 – 445
Prediction correct · off by 18.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.