Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

418.74 – 635.35

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

328 – 517

Prediction correct · off by 104.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 698.7 ±14.9

9077The Crown

Season APEX 137.6Event APEX 108.31Rank 64Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5987Galaxia in memory of David Zohar

A+

Season APEX 327.4Event APEX 242.56Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9066Cavalo Vendado

Season APEX 233.7Event APEX 67.87Rank 48Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 828.4 ±10.5

5199Robot Dolphins From Outer Space

Season APEX 275.7Event APEX 257.55Rank 3Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7028Binary Battalion

Season APEX 289.5Event APEX 301.38Rank 6Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8595This Is How We Play

Season APEX 263.2Event APEX 76.42Rank 13Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9077, 5987, 9066

/ 100 compat

Projected

418.7 pts

~0.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 9077, 5987, 9066

Auto

86.8 21%

Teleop

242.8 60%

Endgame

74.7 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5199, 7028, 8595

/ 100 compat

Projected

635.4 pts

~2.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 5199, 7028, 8595

Auto

119.8 18%

Teleop

345.6 53%

Endgame

184.7 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.84 · Blue 2.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score418.7pts

Blue projected score635.4pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 21%, blue 36%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -216.6
Score range: 345–709
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 845 vs event baseline 413.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

698.7Season APEX828.4

86.8Auto119.8

242.8Teleop345.6

74.7Endgame184.7

180Consistency177

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	64	122
teleop	196	292
endgame	68	103
foul	0	0
total	328	517

Result

Final score

328 – 517

Prediction correct · off by 104.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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