Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

640.33 – 189.46

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

710 – 321

Prediction correct · off by 100.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 967.7 ±10.5

8613Barker Greybacks

A+

Season APEX 322.1Event APEX 137.98Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7028Binary Battalion

Season APEX 289.5Event APEX 277.5Rank 6Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 224.85Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 565.6 ±9.3

2357System Meltdown

Season APEX 196.7Event APEX 43.88Rank 53Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5166Fabricators

Season APEX 163.6Event APEX 42.49Rank 49Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10349Pontiac Firebirds

Season APEX 205.3Event APEX 103.09Rank 66Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8613, 7028, 5460

/ 100 compat

Projected

640.3 pts

~2.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 8613, 7028, 5460

Auto

118.9 18%

Teleop

378.4 58%

Endgame

150.2 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 33%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2357, 5166, 10349

/ 100 compat

Projected

189.5 pts

~0.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 2357, 5166, 10349

Auto

63.7 33%

Teleop

115.0 60%

Endgame

12.6 7%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 33%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.91 · Blue 0.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score640.3pts

Blue projected score189.5pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 33%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 450.9
Score range: 115–714
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1031 vs event baseline 410.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

967.7Season APEX565.6

118.9Auto63.7

378.4Teleop115

150.2Endgame12.6

171Consistency217

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	134	68
teleop	394	147
endgame	177	106
foul	5	0
total	710	321

Result

Final score

710 – 321

Prediction correct · off by 100.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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