Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

311.54 – 317.94

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

353 – 466

Prediction correct · off by 94.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 625.4 ±9.8

59RamTech

Season APEX 236.3Event APEX 121.9Rank 42Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

987HIGHROLLERS

Season APEX 204.2Event APEX 162.74Rank 50Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11318Freedom Robotics

Season APEX 184.9Event APEX 26.9Rank 60Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 709.9 ±13.5

5987Galaxia in memory of David Zohar

A+

Season APEX 327.4Event APEX 226.2Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

6417Fridolins

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 43.7Rank 54Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2637Phantom Catz

Season APEX 224.8Event APEX 48.04Rank 55Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 59, 987, 11318

/ 100 compat

Projected

311.5 pts

~1.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 59, 987, 11318

Auto

80.9 26%

Teleop

176.9 57%

Endgame

50.1 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5987, 6417, 2637

/ 100 compat

Projected

317.9 pts

~1.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 5987, 6417, 2637

Auto

49.9 16%

Teleop

179.8 59%

Endgame

74.7 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.72 · Blue 1.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score311.5pts

Blue projected score317.9pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -6.4
Score range: 238–392
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 819 vs event baseline 410.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

625.4Season APEX709.9

80.9Auto49.9

176.9Teleop179.8

50.1Endgame74.7

127Consistency206

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	89	87
teleop	176	235
endgame	83	144
foul	5	0
total	353	466

Result

Final score

353 – 466

Prediction correct · off by 94.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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