Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

203.17 – 508.98

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

442 – 319

Prediction missed · off by 214.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 696.4 ±11.2

7565SESI SENAI ROBONÁTICOS

Season APEX 185.3Event APEX 77.28Rank 27Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6773Max Throttle Mavericks

Season APEX 218.1Event APEX 24.06Rank 57Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6510Pymble Pride

A+

Season APEX 293Event APEX 101.83Rank 47Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 564 ±9.3

4256Cyborg Cats

Season APEX 149.9Event APEX 122.65Rank 72Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6615Bellevillains

Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 196.6Rank 51Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6366RAM Rodz Robotics

Season APEX 180.5Event APEX 189.73Rank 62Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7565, 6773, 6510

/ 100 compat

Projected

203.2 pts

~0.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 7565, 6773, 6510

Auto

107.9 53%

Teleop

89.4 44%

Endgame

5.0 2%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Low variance, consistent output

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4256, 6615, 6366

/ 100 compat

Projected

509 pts

~2.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 4256, 6615, 6366

Auto

73.7 15%

Teleop

268.5 54%

Endgame

151.5 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.78 · Blue 2.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score203.2pts

Blue projected score509pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 18%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -305.8
Score range: 128–584
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 761 vs event baseline 414.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

696.4Season APEX564

107.9Auto73.7

89.4Teleop268.5

5Endgame151.5

237Consistency119

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	68
teleop	267	186
endgame	161	65
foul	0	0
total	442	319

Result

Final score

442 – 319

Prediction missed · off by 214.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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