Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

696.6 – 415.22

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

858 – 487

Prediction correct · off by 116.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 1054.3 ±9.3

5907CC Shambots

A+

Season APEX 326.9Event APEX 185.62Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7028Binary Battalion

Season APEX 289.5Event APEX 249.48Rank 6Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

254The Cheesy Poofs

Season APEX 437.9Event APEX 261.5Rank 4Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 761.7 ±9.3

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 190.85Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6413Degrees of Freedom

Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 98.03Rank 38Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1477Texas Torque

Season APEX 214.2Event APEX 126.34Rank 45Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5907, 7028, 254

/ 100 compat

Projected

696.6 pts

~2.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 5907, 7028, 254

Auto

155.5 22%

Teleop

363.3 51%

Endgame

194.2 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 37%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5460, 6413, 1477

/ 100 compat

Projected

415.2 pts

~1.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 5460, 6413, 1477

Auto

109.7 26%

Teleop

195.3 47%

Endgame

114.4 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 37%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.88 · Blue 0.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score696.6pts

Blue projected score415.2pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 69%

Supercharged bonusred 37%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 281.4
Score range: 343–769
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1345 vs event baseline 401.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

1054.3Season APEX761.7

155.5Auto109.7

363.3Teleop195.3

194.2Endgame114.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	120	128
teleop	447	260
endgame	291	99
foul	0	0
total	858	487

Result

Final score

858 – 487

Prediction correct · off by 116.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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