Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

234.72 – 518.8

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

30 – 608

Prediction correct · off by 147 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 536.1 ±9.8

2682Boneyard Robotics 2682

Season APEX 153.9Event APEX 72.74Rank 29Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11318Freedom Robotics

Season APEX 184.9Event APEX 100.77Rank 60Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2053Southern Tier Robotics

Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 61.21Rank 58Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 806.7 ±9.8

870TEAM R. I. C. E.

Season APEX 291.3Event APEX 85.94Rank 35Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5199Robot Dolphins From Outer Space

Season APEX 275.7Event APEX 259.19Rank 3Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4611OZone

Season APEX 239.7Event APEX 173.67Rank 19Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2682, 11318, 2053

/ 100 compat

Projected

234.7 pts

~0.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 2682, 11318, 2053

Auto

69.3 30%

Teleop

129.0 56%

Endgame

30.5 13%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 870, 5199, 4611

/ 100 compat

Projected

518.8 pts

~2.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 870, 5199, 4611

Auto

112.7 22%

Teleop

269.5 52%

Endgame

136.3 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.69 · Blue 2.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score234.7pts

Blue projected score518.8pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 25%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -284.1
Score range: 162–592
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 638 vs event baseline 404.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

536.1Season APEX806.7

69.3Auto112.7

129Teleop269.5

30.5Endgame136.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	97
teleop	5	374
endgame	6	137
foul	0	0
total	30	608

Result

Final score

30 – 608

Prediction correct · off by 147 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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