Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

519.61 – 446.24

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

686 – 329

Prediction correct · off by 141.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 900.6 ±8.7

1987Broncobots

A+

Season APEX 323.7Event APEX 159Rank 5Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1714MORE Robotics

Season APEX 220.9Event APEX 192.24Rank 28Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6800Valor

Season APEX 356Event APEX 168.37Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 711.7 ±8.1

6773Max Throttle Mavericks

Season APEX 218.1Event APEX 76.46Rank 57Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8280K9.0 Robotics

Season APEX 180.4Event APEX 150.2Rank 32Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6369Mercenary Robotics

A+

Season APEX 313.2Event APEX 219.58Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1987, 1714, 6800

/ 100 compat

Projected

519.6 pts

~2.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 1987, 1714, 6800

Auto

60.3 12%

Teleop

317.9 61%

Endgame

146.1 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 39%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6773, 8280, 6369

/ 100 compat

Projected

446.2 pts

~1.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 6773, 8280, 6369

Auto

59.2 13%

Teleop

260.8 58%

Endgame

127.3 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 39%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.43 · Blue 1.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score519.6pts

Blue projected score446.2pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 39%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 73.4
Score range: 375–591
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1015 vs event baseline 396.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

900.6Season APEX711.7

60.3Auto59.2

317.9Teleop260.8

146.1Endgame127.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	165	120
teleop	385	140
endgame	136	69
foul	0	0
total	686	329

Result

Final score

686 – 329

Prediction correct · off by 141.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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