Qualification · Qualification 23
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
257.59 – 352.96
23%77%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
344 – 551
Prediction correct · off by 142.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 719.1 ±9.8
Season APEX 218.1Event APEX 32.22Rank 57Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 236.3Event APEX 116.06Rank 42Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 264.7Event APEX 109.31Rank 43Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 655.9 ±9.4
Season APEX 313.2Event APEX 160.01Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 205.1Event APEX 95.29Rank 33Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 137.6Event APEX 97.66Rank 64Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6773, 59, 2992
53
/ 100 compatProjected
257.6 pts
~1.2 RP (championship)
Teams: 6773, 59, 2992
Auto
40.5 16%
Teleop
149.9 59%
Endgame
62.0 25%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 17%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6369, 7421, 9077
65
/ 100 compatProjected
353 pts
~2.3 RP (championship)
Teams: 6369, 7421, 9077
Auto
77.2 22%
Teleop
179.1 51%
Endgame
94.0 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 17%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.23 · Blue 2.3
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score257.6pts
Blue projected score353pts
Red win probability23%
Event bonus sample278alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 57%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 22%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -95.4
- Score range
- 184–427
- Upset likelihood
- 23%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
719.1Season APEX655.9
40.5Auto77.2
149.9Teleop179.1
62Endgame94
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 86 | 123 |
| teleop | 202 | 327 |
| endgame | 56 | 101 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 344 | 551 |
Result
Final score
344 – 551
Prediction correct · off by 142.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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