Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

323.63 – 348.68

42%58%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

344 – 374

Prediction correct · off by 22.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 514 ±8.7

3847Spectrum -△◅

Season APEX 245.1Event APEX 119.54Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11167Team Titan

Season APEX 106.3Event APEX 91.53Rank 74Record 0-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4786Nicolet FEAR

Season APEX 162.6Event APEX 112.56Rank 69Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 669.7 ±10.5

2412Robototes

Season APEX 215.1Event APEX 109.54Rank 15Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8595This Is How We Play

Season APEX 263.2Event APEX 101.71Rank 13Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6413Degrees of Freedom

Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 137.43Rank 38Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3847, 11167, 4786

/ 100 compat

Projected

323.6 pts

~1.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 3847, 11167, 4786

Auto

61.9 19%

Teleop

182.8 57%

Endgame

78.2 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2412, 8595, 6413

/ 100 compat

Projected

348.7 pts

~2.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 2412, 8595, 6413

Auto

79.4 23%

Teleop

190.1 55%

Endgame

76.3 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.38 · Blue 2.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score323.6pts

Blue projected score348.7pts

Red win probability42%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 24%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -25.1
Score range: 250–423
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 718 vs event baseline 409.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

514Season APEX669.7

61.9Auto79.4

182.8Teleop190.1

78.2Endgame76.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	100	100
teleop	175	180
endgame	69	94
foul	0	0
total	344	374

Result

Final score

344 – 374

Prediction correct · off by 22.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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