Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

272.99 – 485.88

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

345 – 545

Prediction correct · off by 65.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 622.9 ±9.8

1024Kil-A-Bytes

Season APEX 228.7Event APEX 100.56Rank 36Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10922Amped

Season APEX 161.2Event APEX 51.86Rank 37Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3181Pittsford Panthers

Season APEX 233Event APEX 120.57Rank 30Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 880.2 ±9.8

4027Centre Punch

Season APEX 202.6Event APEX 126Rank 59Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4611OZone

Season APEX 239.7Event APEX 136.86Rank 19Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

254The Cheesy Poofs

Season APEX 437.9Event APEX 223.02Rank 4Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1024, 10922, 3181

/ 100 compat

Projected

273 pts

~0.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 1024, 10922, 3181

Auto

60.1 22%

Teleop

140.6 52%

Endgame

69.6 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4027, 4611, 254

/ 100 compat

Projected

485.9 pts

~2.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 4027, 4611, 254

Auto

90.5 19%

Teleop

283.4 58%

Endgame

112.5 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.89 · Blue 2.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score273pts

Blue projected score485.9pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 24%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -212.9
Score range: 200–559
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 890 vs event baseline 407.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

622.9Season APEX880.2

60.1Auto90.5

140.6Teleop283.4

69.6Endgame112.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	82	99
teleop	176	251
endgame	82	190
foul	5	5
total	345	545

Result

Final score

345 – 545

Prediction correct · off by 65.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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