Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

498.96 – 462.39

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

217 – 301

Prediction missed · off by 221.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 583.2 ±9.3

302The Dragons

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX -Rank 46Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

589Falkon Robotics

Season APEX 186.8Event APEX 201.14Rank 68Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1714MORE Robotics

Season APEX 220.9Event APEX 224.29Rank 28Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 781.7 ±9.8

5907CC Shambots

A+

Season APEX 326.9Event APEX 224.29Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8725MistyPanther

Season APEX 206.3Event APEX -Rank 56Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6045Sabre Robotics

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 164.57Rank 25Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 302, 589, 1714

/ 100 compat

Projected

499 pts

~1.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 302, 589, 1714

Auto

94.6 19%

Teleop

270.2 54%

Endgame

134.1 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5907, 8725, 6045

/ 100 compat

Projected

462.4 pts

~1.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 5907, 8725, 6045

Auto

64.1 14%

Teleop

254.8 55%

Endgame

142.1 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.87 · Blue 1.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score499pts

Blue projected score462.4pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 21%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 36.6
Score range: 383–578
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 518 vs event baseline 441.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

583.2Season APEX781.7

72.6Auto42

233.4Teleop218

119.4Endgame127.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	59
teleop	123	188
endgame	45	49
foul	5	5
total	217	301

Result

Final score

217 – 301

Prediction missed · off by 221.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.