Qualification · Qualification 123

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

569.03 – 413.39

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

590 – 487

Prediction correct · off by 47.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 841.1 ±9.5

9023Future Martians

Season APEX 273.9Event APEX 245.69Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3847Spectrum -△◅

Season APEX 245.1Event APEX 171.59Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8613Barker Greybacks

A+

Season APEX 322.1Event APEX 151.75Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 705.3 ±11.7

6497Pymble P-Platers

Season APEX 208.1Event APEX 116.1Rank 44Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6510Pymble Pride

A+

Season APEX 293Event APEX 95.83Rank 47Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

987HIGHROLLERS

Season APEX 204.2Event APEX 201.46Rank 50Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9023, 3847, 8613

/ 100 compat

Projected

569 pts

~2.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 9023, 3847, 8613

Auto

82.4 15%

Teleop

335.8 61%

Endgame

135.8 25%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 33%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6497, 6510, 987

/ 100 compat

Projected

413.4 pts

~1.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 6497, 6510, 987

Auto

38.3 9%

Teleop

217.9 53%

Endgame

152.1 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 33%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.75 · Blue 1.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score569pts

Blue projected score413.4pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 33%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 155.6
Score range: 338–644
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1077 vs event baseline 416.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

841.1Season APEX705.3

82.4Auto38.3

335.8Teleop217.9

135.8Endgame152.1

108Consistency164

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	71	109
teleop	311	292
endgame	158	81
foul	50	5
total	590	487

Result

Final score

590 – 487

Prediction correct · off by 47.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.