Qualification · Qualification 122

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

428.2 – 582.72

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

391 – 556

Prediction correct · off by 32 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 638.9 ±10.4

6045Sabre Robotics

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 125.44Rank 25Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7565SESI SENAI ROBONÁTICOS

Season APEX 185.3Event APEX 157.64Rank 27Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7421PrepaTec - OVERTURE

Season APEX 205.1Event APEX 145.12Rank 33Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 885.5 ±8.7

294Beach Cities Robotics

Season APEX 290.9Event APEX 139.76Rank 20Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 260.51Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2724Avalanche Robotics

Season APEX 238.5Event APEX 182.45Rank 24Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6045, 7565, 7421

/ 100 compat

Projected

428.2 pts

~1.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 6045, 7565, 7421

Auto

65.8 16%

Teleop

224.4 54%

Endgame

124.7 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 294, 5460, 2724

/ 100 compat

Projected

582.7 pts

~2.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 294, 5460, 2724

Auto

115.3 20%

Teleop

329.7 57%

Endgame

131.8 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.02 · Blue 2.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score428.2pts

Blue projected score582.7pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 27%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -154.5
Score range: 353–658
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 947 vs event baseline 415.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

638.9Season APEX885.5

65.8Auto115.3

224.4Teleop329.7

124.7Endgame131.8

150Consistency107

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	133
teleop	192	311
endgame	120	112
foul	35	0
total	391	556

Result

Final score

391 – 556

Prediction correct · off by 32 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.