Qualification · Qualification 12

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

221.64 – 221.64

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

356 – 481

Prediction missed · off by 196.9 points

Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 692.1 ±11

8595This Is How We Play

Season APEX 263.2Event APEX -Rank 13Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

870TEAM R. I. C. E.

Season APEX 291.3Event APEX -Rank 35Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9077The Crown

Season APEX 137.6Event APEX -Rank 64Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 837.2 ±10.5

6413Degrees of Freedom

Season APEX 191.4Event APEX -Rank 38Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1987Broncobots

A+

Season APEX 323.7Event APEX -Rank 5Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8613Barker Greybacks

A+

Season APEX 322.1Event APEX -Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8595, 870, 9077

/ 100 compat

Projected

221.6 pts

~1.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 8595, 870, 9077

Auto

66.5 30%

Teleop

110.8 50%

Endgame

44.3 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6413, 1987, 8613

/ 100 compat

Projected

221.6 pts

~1.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 6413, 1987, 8613

Auto

66.5 30%

Teleop

110.8 50%

Endgame

44.3 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.78 · Blue 1.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score221.6pts

Blue projected score221.6pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 24%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0
Score range: 142–302
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 837 vs event baseline 443.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

692.1Season APEX837.2

-Auto-

-Teleop-

-Endgame-

-Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	150	80
teleop	154	285
endgame	52	111
foul	0	5
total	356	481

Result

Final score

356 – 481

Prediction missed · off by 196.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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