Qualification · Qualification 119

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

579.36 – 252.74

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

609 – 222

Prediction correct · off by 30.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 946.8 ±9.9

254The Cheesy Poofs

Season APEX 437.9Event APEX 305.76Rank 4Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8595This Is How We Play

Season APEX 263.2Event APEX 155.15Rank 13Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5712Hemlock's Gray Matter

Season APEX 245.7Event APEX 118.45Rank 34Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 571.8 ±9.8

2682Boneyard Robotics 2682

Season APEX 153.9Event APEX 45.56Rank 29Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5572Rosbots

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 147.04Rank 40Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

589Falkon Robotics

Season APEX 186.8Event APEX 60.14Rank 68Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 254, 8595, 5712

/ 100 compat

Projected

579.4 pts

~2.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 254, 8595, 5712

Auto

120.5 21%

Teleop

288.6 51%

Endgame

151.5 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 31%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2682, 5572, 589

/ 100 compat

Projected

252.7 pts

~0.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 2682, 5572, 589

Auto

26.2 11%

Teleop

141.1 58%

Endgame

75.8 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 31%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.83 · Blue 0.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score579.4pts

Blue projected score252.7pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 31%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 326.6
Score range: 178–654
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 831 vs event baseline 414.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

946.8Season APEX571.8

120.5Auto26.2

288.6Teleop141.1

151.5Endgame75.8

98Consistency103

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	147	50
teleop	341	104
endgame	116	68
foul	5	0
total	609	222

Result

Final score

609 – 222

Prediction correct · off by 30.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.