Qualification · Qualification 118

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

203.63 – 511.37

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

150 – 787

Prediction correct · off by 164.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 497.7 ±11.2

6417Fridolins

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 133.21Rank 54Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9066Cavalo Vendado

Season APEX 233.7Event APEX 53.19Rank 48Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11167Team Titan

Season APEX 106.3Event APEX 17.23Rank 74Record 0-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 865.4 ±9.3

3181Pittsford Panthers

Season APEX 233Event APEX 150.84Rank 30Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3128The Aluminum Narwhals

A+

Season APEX 308.7Event APEX 151.5Rank 8Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1987Broncobots

A+

Season APEX 323.7Event APEX 209.03Rank 5Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6417, 9066, 11167

/ 100 compat

Projected

203.6 pts

~0.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 6417, 9066, 11167

Auto

61.7 32%

Teleop

105.2 54%

Endgame

27.8 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3181, 3128, 1987

/ 100 compat

Projected

511.4 pts

~2.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 3181, 3128, 1987

Auto

109.3 22%

Teleop

293.2 59%

Endgame

98.3 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.53 · Blue 2.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score203.6pts

Blue projected score511.4pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 31%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -307.7
Score range: 130–585
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 937 vs event baseline 413.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

497.7Season APEX865.4

61.7Auto109.3

105.2Teleop293.2

27.8Endgame98.3

153Consistency112

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	134
teleop	85	477
endgame	27	176
foul	10	0
total	150	787

Result

Final score

150 – 787

Prediction correct · off by 164.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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