Qualification · Qualification 113

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

366.89 – 476.24

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

440 – 535

Prediction correct · off by 65.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 731.8 ±9.3

2637Phantom Catz

Season APEX 224.8Event APEX 69.99Rank 55Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2412Robototes

Season APEX 215.1Event APEX 150.58Rank 15Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9068The Chargers

A+

Season APEX 291.9Event APEX 146.32Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 700.1 ±9.8

2992The S.S. Prometheus

Season APEX 264.7Event APEX 159.78Rank 43Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5193Pantheon

Season APEX 275.3Event APEX 249.24Rank 12Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2443Blue Thunder

Season APEX 160.1Event APEX 67.22Rank 31Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2637, 2412, 9068

/ 100 compat

Projected

366.9 pts

~1.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 2637, 2412, 9068

Auto

79.1 23%

Teleop

190.2 54%

Endgame

81.6 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2992, 5193, 2443

/ 100 compat

Projected

476.2 pts

~2.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 2992, 5193, 2443

Auto

78.4 17%

Teleop

239.9 53%

Endgame

132.6 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.12 · Blue 2.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score366.9pts

Blue projected score476.2pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 21%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -109.4
Score range: 292–551
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 975 vs event baseline 415.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

731.8Season APEX700.1

79.1Auto78.4

190.2Teleop239.9

81.6Endgame132.6

134Consistency138

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	93	107
teleop	191	300
endgame	136	128
foul	20	0
total	440	535

Result

Final score

440 – 535

Prediction correct · off by 65.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.