Qualification · Qualification 110

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

485.31 – 364.31

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

600 – 396

Prediction correct · off by 73.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 794 ±11.2

9066Cavalo Vendado

Season APEX 233.7Event APEX 43.48Rank 48Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 246.06Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

987HIGHROLLERS

Season APEX 204.2Event APEX 195.77Rank 50Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 628.7 ±9.3

5572Rosbots

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 142.59Rank 40Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11167Team Titan

Season APEX 106.3Event APEX 5.99Rank 74Record 0-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

870TEAM R. I. C. E.

Season APEX 291.3Event APEX 215.73Rank 35Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9066, 5460, 987

/ 100 compat

Projected

485.3 pts

~2.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 9066, 5460, 987

Auto

93.6 20%

Teleop

265.8 57%

Endgame

108.7 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5572, 11167, 870

/ 100 compat

Projected

364.3 pts

~0.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 5572, 11167, 870

Auto

102.0 29%

Teleop

170.5 48%

Endgame

82.8 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.47 · Blue 0.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score485.3pts

Blue projected score364.3pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 25%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 121
Score range: 290–559
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 996 vs event baseline 413.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

794Season APEX628.7

93.6Auto102

265.8Teleop170.5

108.7Endgame82.8

129Consistency175

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	127	82
teleop	325	187
endgame	143	127
foul	5	0
total	600	396

Result

Final score

600 – 396

Prediction correct · off by 73.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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