Qualification · Qualification 11
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
219.13 – 219.13
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
565 – 422
Prediction correct · off by 274.4 points
Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 720.1 ±9.3
Season APEX 214.2Event APEX -Rank 45Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 356Event APEX -Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 149.9Event APEX -Rank 72Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 660.3 ±9.8
Season APEX 162.6Event APEX -Rank 69Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 233Event APEX -Rank 30Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 264.7Event APEX -Rank 43Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1477, 6800, 4256
50
/ 100 compatProjected
219.1 pts
~1.8 RP (championship)
Teams: 1477, 6800, 4256
Auto
65.7 30%
Teleop
109.6 50%
Endgame
43.8 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 20%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4786, 3181, 2992
50
/ 100 compatProjected
219.1 pts
~1.7 RP (championship)
Teams: 4786, 3181, 2992
Auto
65.7 30%
Teleop
109.6 50%
Endgame
43.8 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 20%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.79 · Blue 1.69
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score219.1pts
Blue projected score219.1pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample278alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 57%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 15%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 140–298
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
720.1Season APEX660.3
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 114 | 67 |
| teleop | 309 | 236 |
| endgame | 142 | 114 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 565 | 422 |
Result
Final score
565 – 422
Prediction correct · off by 274.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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