Qualification · Qualification 105
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
267.54 – 199.04
70%30%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
414 – 291
Prediction correct · off by 119.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 578.4 ±8.7
Season APEX 163.6Event APEX 87.05Rank 49Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 184.9Event APEX 4.65Rank 60Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 229.9Event APEX 175.84Rank 52Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 523 ±10.5
Season APEX 155.6Event APEX 77.19Rank 70Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 154.3Event APEX 50.7Rank 61Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 213.1Event APEX 71.15Rank 71Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5166, 11318, 3197
54
/ 100 compatProjected
267.5 pts
~2.0 RP (championship)
Teams: 5166, 11318, 3197
Auto
50.1 19%
Teleop
138.7 53%
Endgame
71.3 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7567, 8575, 7539
51
/ 100 compatProjected
199 pts
~1.1 RP (championship)
Teams: 7567, 8575, 7539
Auto
44.8 22%
Teleop
102.6 50%
Endgame
59.2 29%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.97 · Blue 1.15
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score267.5pts
Blue projected score199pts
Red win probability70%
Event bonus sample278alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 44%, blue 43%
Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 10%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 68.5
- Score range
- 125–342
- Upset likelihood
- 30%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
578.4Season APEX523
50.1Auto44.8
138.7Teleop102.6
71.3Endgame59.2
128Consistency170
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 67 | 32 |
| teleop | 268 | 175 |
| endgame | 79 | 84 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 414 | 291 |
Result
Final score
414 – 291
Prediction correct · off by 119.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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