Qualification · Qualification 102

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

281.47 – 670.56

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

361 – 861

Prediction correct · off by 135 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 644.1 ±9.3

1684The Chimeras

Season APEX 226.4Event APEX 48.91Rank 63Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2412Robototes

Season APEX 215.1Event APEX 148.55Rank 15Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4027Centre Punch

Season APEX 202.6Event APEX 84.01Rank 59Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 1020.5 ±8.1

3128The Aluminum Narwhals

A+

Season APEX 308.7Event APEX 134.08Rank 8Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

254The Cheesy Poofs

Season APEX 437.9Event APEX 292.08Rank 4Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9023Future Martians

Season APEX 273.9Event APEX 244.4Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1684, 2412, 4027

/ 100 compat

Projected

281.5 pts

~0.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 1684, 2412, 4027

Auto

52.3 19%

Teleop

134.6 48%

Endgame

93.2 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3128, 254, 9023

/ 100 compat

Projected

670.6 pts

~3.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 3128, 254, 9023

Auto

153.6 24%

Teleop

312.3 49%

Endgame

177.5 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.74 · Blue 2.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score281.5pts

Blue projected score670.6pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 35%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -389.1
Score range: 207–745
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1222 vs event baseline 409.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

644.1Season APEX1020.5

52.3Auto153.6

134.6Teleop312.3

93.2Endgame177.5

155Consistency107

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	109
teleop	176	532
endgame	148	220
foul	15	0
total	361	861

Result

Final score

361 – 861

Prediction correct · off by 135 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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