Qualification · Qualification 10
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
217.92 – 217.92
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
479 – 441
Prediction correct · off by 242.1 points
Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 761.7 ±9.3
Season APEX 239.7Event APEX -Rank 19Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 231.1Event APEX -Rank 40Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 290.9Event APEX -Rank 20Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 684 ±9.8
Season APEX 245.1Event APEX -Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 236.3Event APEX -Rank 42Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 202.6Event APEX -Rank 59Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4611, 5572, 294
50
/ 100 compatProjected
217.9 pts
~1.9 RP (championship)
Teams: 4611, 5572, 294
Auto
65.4 30%
Teleop
109.0 50%
Endgame
43.6 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 22%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3847, 59, 4027
50
/ 100 compatProjected
217.9 pts
~1.8 RP (championship)
Teams: 3847, 59, 4027
Auto
65.4 30%
Teleop
109.0 50%
Endgame
43.6 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 22%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.89 · Blue 1.82
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score217.9pts
Blue projected score217.9pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample278alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 65%, blue 59%
Supercharged bonusred 22%, blue 20%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 140–296
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
761.7Season APEX684
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 90 | 70 |
| teleop | 295 | 263 |
| endgame | 94 | 108 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 479 | 441 |
Result
Final score
479 – 441
Prediction correct · off by 242.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.