Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

763.63 – 695.54

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

718 – 530

Prediction correct · off by 105.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 1014.8 ±8.7

1714MORE Robotics

Season APEX 220.9Event APEX 167.52Rank 28Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6800Valor

Season APEX 356Event APEX 293.74Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

254The Cheesy Poofs

Season APEX 437.9Event APEX 302.37Rank 4Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 903.3 ±9.5

6369Mercenary Robotics

A+

Season APEX 313.2Event APEX 269.01Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8595This Is How We Play

Season APEX 263.2Event APEX 158.37Rank 13Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5907CC Shambots

A+

Season APEX 326.9Event APEX 268.16Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1714, 6800, 254

/ 100 compat

Projected

763.6 pts

~2.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 1714, 6800, 254

Auto

166.7 22%

Teleop

412.1 55%

Endgame

170.6 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 38%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6369, 8595, 5907

/ 100 compat

Projected

695.5 pts

~1.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 6369, 8595, 5907

Auto

118.4 17%

Teleop

388.3 56%

Endgame

184.3 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 38%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.39 · Blue 1.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score763.6pts

Blue projected score695.5pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 38%, blue 39%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 68.1
Score range: 618–842
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 1248 vs event baseline 432.5.

← Previous

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

1014.8Season APEX903.3

166.7Auto118.4

412.1Teleop388.3

170.6Endgame184.3

86Consistency120

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	165	87
teleop	341	295
endgame	207	128
foul	5	20
total	718	530

Result

Final score

718 – 530

Prediction correct · off by 105.6 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.