Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

136.97 – 80.41

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

114 – 61

Prediction correct · off by 21.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 338.3 ±10.4

1071Team MAX

Season APEX 105Event APEX 18.54Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

173RAGE Robotics ⚙️

Season APEX 117.2Event APEX 56.14Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

228GUS

Season APEX 116.1Event APEX 62.29Rank 8Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 242.3 ±12.2

10245WAMS

Season APEX 55.6Event APEX 23.53Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6933Archytas

Season APEX 64Event APEX 36.11Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

999MechaRAMS

Season APEX 122.7Event APEX 20.77Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1071, 173, 228

/ 100 compat

Projected

137 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1071, 173, 228

Auto

28.1 21%

Teleop

72.6 55%

Endgame

31.5 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10245, 6933, 999

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10245, 6933, 999

Auto

17.5 23%

Teleop

41.2 53%

Endgame

18.4 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.76 · Blue 1.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score137pts

Blue projected score80.4pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 56.6
Score range: 54–163
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 175 vs event baseline 142.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

338.3Season APEX242.3

28.1Auto17.5

72.6Teleop41.2

31.5Endgame18.4

25Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	16
teleop	67	13
endgame	20	27
foul	5	5
total	114	61

Result

Final score

114 – 61

Prediction correct · off by 21.2 pts

Match videos

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