Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

508.44 – 153.05

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

637 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 108.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 603.1 ±9.9

7907Spartan Robotics

Season APEX 24Event APEX -2.49Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6328Mechanical Advantage

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 287.04Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

176Aces High

Season APEX 277.5Event APEX 223.89Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 338.3 ±10.4

1071Team MAX

Season APEX 105Event APEX 23.68Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

173RAGE Robotics ⚙️

Season APEX 117.2Event APEX 60.36Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

228GUS

Season APEX 116.1Event APEX 69.01Rank 8Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7907, 6328, 176

/ 100 compat

Projected

508.4 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7907, 6328, 176

Auto

87.4 17%

Teleop

312.4 61%

Endgame

108.4 21%

Strengths

· 6328 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1071, 173, 228

/ 100 compat

Projected

153.1 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1071, 173, 228

Auto

29.2 20%

Teleop

81.6 55%

Endgame

36.5 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.55 · Blue 0.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score508.4pts

Blue projected score153.1pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 355.4
Score range: 128–533
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 702 vs event baseline 137.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

603.1Season APEX338.3

87.4Auto29.2

312.4Teleop81.6

108.4Endgame36.5

0Consistency22

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	118	24
teleop	400	32
endgame	114	9
foul	5	0
total	637	65

Result

Final score

637 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 108.3 pts

Match videos

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