Playoff · Playoff Match 4 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

157.27 – 63.85

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

172 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 22.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 299.9 ±11

2064The Panther Project

Season APEX 42Event APEX 13.55Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8085MOJO

Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 58.78Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

230Gaelhawks

Season APEX 126.6Event APEX 84.94Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 242.3 ±12.2

10245WAMS

Season APEX 55.6Event APEX 17.67Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6933Archytas

Season APEX 64Event APEX 31.05Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

999MechaRAMS

Season APEX 122.7Event APEX 15.13Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2064, 8085, 230

/ 100 compat

Projected

157.3 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2064, 8085, 230

Auto

31.2 20%

Teleop

81.2 53%

Endgame

41.6 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10245, 6933, 999

/ 100 compat

Projected

63.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10245, 6933, 999

Auto

20.5 34%

Teleop

27.9 46%

Endgame

11.8 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.03 · Blue 0.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score157.3pts

Blue projected score63.9pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 93.4
Score range: 39–182
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 267 vs event baseline 139.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

299.9Season APEX242.3

31.2Auto20.5

81.2Teleop27.9

41.6Endgame11.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	9
teleop	100	46
endgame	28	35
foul	5	5
total	172	95

Result

Final score

172 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 22.9 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.