Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
512.16 – 67.61
98%2%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
511 – 63
Prediction correct · off by 2.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 603.1 ±9.9
Season APEX 24Event APEX -1.32Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 288.2Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 277.5Event APEX 225.28Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 233.8 ±11.7
Season APEX 101.8Event APEX 25.67Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 47.3Event APEX 17.89Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 24.05Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7907, 6328, 176
79
/ 100 compatProjected
512.2 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 7907, 6328, 176
Auto
88.7 17%
Teleop
316.7 62%
Endgame
105.7 21%
Strengths
- · 6328 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8889, 10592, 7153
34
/ 100 compatProjected
67.6 pts
~0.5 RP (district)
Teams: 8889, 10592, 7153
Auto
30.1 44%
Teleop
19.1 28%
Endgame
19.0 28%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.55 · Blue 0.45
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score512.2pts
Blue projected score67.6pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample158alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 47%, blue 34%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 444.6
- Score range
- 44–536
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
603.1Season APEX233.8
88.7Auto30.1
316.7Teleop19.1
105.7Endgame19
0Consistency18
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 84 | 19 |
| teleop | 303 | 23 |
| endgame | 124 | 21 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 511 | 63 |
Result
Final score
511 – 63
Prediction correct · off by 2.9 pts
Match videos
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