Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

253.86 – 135.31

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

326 – 56

Prediction correct · off by 75.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 374.9 ±10

4572Barlow Robotics

Season APEX 90.4Event APEX 32.5Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4909Bionics

Season APEX 159.8Event APEX 123.28Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7127LongMetal Robotics

Season APEX 124.7Event APEX 98.08Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 338.3 ±10.4

1071Team MAX

Season APEX 105Event APEX 18.36Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

228GUS

Season APEX 116.1Event APEX 61.69Rank 8Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

173RAGE Robotics ⚙️

Season APEX 117.2Event APEX 55.26Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4572, 4909, 7127

/ 100 compat

Projected

253.9 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4572, 4909, 7127

Auto

36.3 15%

Teleop

145.2 61%

Endgame

56.9 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1071, 228, 173

/ 100 compat

Projected

135.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1071, 228, 173

Auto

27.2 21%

Teleop

69.9 53%

Endgame

34.0 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.17 · Blue 0.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score253.9pts

Blue projected score135.3pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 118.6
Score range: 109–280
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 382 vs event baseline 144.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

374.9Season APEX338.3

36.3Auto27.2

145.2Teleop69.9

56.9Endgame34

0Consistency30

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	58	27
teleop	206	21
endgame	62	8
foul	0	0
total	326	56

Result

Final score

326 – 56

Prediction correct · off by 75.7 pts

Match videos

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