Qualification · Qualification 64
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
92.22 – 104.06
46%54%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
198 – 94
Prediction missed · off by 57.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 312.5 ±11.7
Season APEX 122.7Event APEX 8.34Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 124.7Event APEX 79.86Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 4.02Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 155.6 ±13.9
Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 71.56Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 55.6Event APEX 20.69Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 36.9Event APEX 11.81Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 999, 7127, 11464
46
/ 100 compatProjected
92.2 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 999, 7127, 11464
Auto
11.1 12%
Teleop
53.8 61%
Endgame
24.0 27%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7694, 10245, 5856
48
/ 100 compatProjected
104.1 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 7694, 10245, 5856
Auto
16.3 16%
Teleop
66.5 65%
Endgame
19.7 19%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.36 · Blue 1.55
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score92.2pts
Blue projected score104.1pts
Red win probability46%
Event bonus sample158alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 39%, blue 41%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -11.8
- Score range
- 68–128
- Upset likelihood
- 46%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
312.5Season APEX155.6
11.1Auto16.3
53.8Teleop66.5
24Endgame19.7
4Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 20 | 21 |
| teleop | 83 | 37 |
| endgame | 35 | 31 |
| foul | 60 | 5 |
| total | 198 | 94 |
Result
Final score
198 – 94
Prediction missed · off by 57.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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