Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

34.99 – 100.9

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

35 – 144

Prediction correct · off by 21.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 223.8 ±13.3

716Who'sCTEKS

Season APEX 72Event APEX 6.71Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4572Barlow Robotics

Season APEX 90.4Event APEX 24.13Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2712Power Surge 4-H Robotics

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 4.15Rank 31Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 235.3 ±11

7907Spartan Robotics

Season APEX 24Event APEX -3.57Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

230Gaelhawks

Season APEX 126.6Event APEX 83.57Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7153Aetos Dios (Eagles of Zeus)

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 20.9Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 716, 4572, 2712

/ 100 compat

Projected

35 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 716, 4572, 2712

Auto

10.3 31%

Teleop

17.3 52%

Endgame

5.9 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7907, 230, 7153

/ 100 compat

Projected

100.9 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7907, 230, 7153

Auto

30.6 31%

Teleop

44.8 45%

Endgame

24.7 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.96 · Blue 1.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score35pts

Blue projected score100.9pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -65.9
Score range: 10–126
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 179 vs event baseline 136.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

223.8Season APEX235.3

10.3Auto30.6

17.3Teleop44.8

5.9Endgame24.7

40Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	50
teleop	20	50
endgame	3	39
foul	0	5
total	35	144

Result

Final score

35 – 144

Prediction correct · off by 21.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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