Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

277.56 – 129.3

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

266 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 28.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 422.8 ±11.2

1099DiscoTechs

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX 23.16Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8889Project W

Season APEX 101.8Event APEX 28.26Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

176Aces High

Season APEX 277.5Event APEX 226.14Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 277.3 ±11

3654TechTigers

Season APEX 82Event APEX 45.22Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6933Archytas

Season APEX 64Event APEX 28.15Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8085MOJO

Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 55.93Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1099, 8889, 176

/ 100 compat

Projected

277.6 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1099, 8889, 176

Auto

56.2 21%

Teleop

144.5 53%

Endgame

70.9 26%

Strengths

· 176 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3654, 6933, 8085

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3654, 6933, 8085

Auto

30.8 24%

Teleop

65.8 52%

Endgame

29.6 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.24 · Blue 0.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score277.6pts

Blue projected score129.3pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 148.3
Score range: 105–302
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 441 vs event baseline 135.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

422.8Season APEX277.3

56.2Auto30.8

144.5Teleop65.8

70.9Endgame29.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	55	27
teleop	164	90
endgame	42	53
foul	5	5
total	266	175

Result

Final score

266 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 28.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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