Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

511.8 – 88.28

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

613 – 92

Prediction correct · off by 52.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 634.7 ±10.7

176Aces High

Season APEX 277.5Event APEX 218.06Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6328Mechanical Advantage

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 281.64Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10245WAMS

Season APEX 55.6Event APEX 12.1Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 222.1 ±12.8

2712Power Surge 4-H Robotics

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 4.32Rank 31Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1099DiscoTechs

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX 24.04Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

173RAGE Robotics ⚙️

Season APEX 117.2Event APEX 59.92Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 176, 6328, 10245

/ 100 compat

Projected

511.8 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 176, 6328, 10245

Auto

91.2 18%

Teleop

317.6 63%

Endgame

98.9 19%

Strengths

· 6328 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2712, 1099, 173

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.3 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 2712, 1099, 173

Auto

16.5 20%

Teleop

44.9 53%

Endgame

22.7 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.66 · Blue 0.4

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score511.8pts

Blue projected score88.3pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 423.5
Score range: 64–536
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 705 vs event baseline 132.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

634.7Season APEX222.1

91.2Auto16.5

317.6Teleop44.9

98.9Endgame22.7

28Consistency55

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	95	26
teleop	357	49
endgame	161	17
foul	0	0
total	613	92

Result

Final score

613 – 92

Prediction correct · off by 52.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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