Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

56.29 – 318.74

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

176 – 398

Prediction correct · off by 99.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 198.7 ±12.2

7907Spartan Robotics

Season APEX 24Event APEX -13.09Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7127LongMetal Robotics

Season APEX 124.7Event APEX 71.45Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10266Hopkins Galvanized Goats

Season APEX 50Event APEX -2.07Rank 29Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 467.4 ±10.5

8889Project W

Season APEX 101.8Event APEX 22.91Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6933Archytas

Season APEX 64Event APEX 21.37Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6328Mechanical Advantage

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 274.46Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7907, 7127, 10266

/ 100 compat

Projected

56.3 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7907, 7127, 10266

Auto

16.1 31%

Teleop

26.4 51%

Endgame

9.1 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8889, 6933, 6328

/ 100 compat

Projected

318.7 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 8889, 6933, 6328

Auto

61.8 20%

Teleop

190.9 61%

Endgame

61.4 20%

Strengths

· 6328 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.5 · Blue 2.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score56.3pts

Blue projected score318.7pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -262.4
Score range: 32–343
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 574 vs event baseline 132.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

198.7Season APEX467.4

16.1Auto61.8

26.4Teleop190.9

9.1Endgame61.4

38Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	88
teleop	103	211
endgame	52	94
foul	0	5
total	176	398

Result

Final score

176 – 398

Prediction correct · off by 99.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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