Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

109.76 – 280.43

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

158 – 372

Prediction correct · off by 69.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 234.5 ±12.8

9193Short-Circuited Eagles

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX -9.19Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7694THE IRON LIONS

Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 63.63Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8085MOJO

Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 55.32Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 430.5 ±11.2

5856Bullbots

Season APEX 36.9Event APEX -4.39Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

228GUS

Season APEX 116.1Event APEX 73.99Rank 8Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

176Aces High

Season APEX 277.5Event APEX 210.83Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9193, 7694, 8085

/ 100 compat

Projected

109.8 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9193, 7694, 8085

Auto

21.8 20%

Teleop

51.6 48%

Endgame

34.6 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5856, 228, 176

/ 100 compat

Projected

280.4 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5856, 228, 176

Auto

49.2 18%

Teleop

174.3 65%

Endgame

46.7 17%

Strengths

· 176 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.71 · Blue 2.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score109.8pts

Blue projected score280.4pts

Red win probability11%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -170.7
Score range: 87–303
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 530 vs event baseline 129.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

234.5Season APEX430.5

21.8Auto49.2

51.6Teleop174.3

34.6Endgame46.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	67
teleop	96	198
endgame	41	97
foul	0	10
total	158	372

Result

Final score

158 – 372

Prediction correct · off by 69.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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