Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

118.74 – 51.73

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

86 – 150

Prediction missed · off by 65.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 302.8 ±11

999MechaRAMS

Season APEX 122.7Event APEX 17.47Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

228GUS

Season APEX 116.1Event APEX 79.74Rank 8Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6933Archytas

Season APEX 64Event APEX 21.53Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 271.6 ±11.7

8085MOJO

Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 44.94Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7153Aetos Dios (Eagles of Zeus)

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 8.55Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10245WAMS

Season APEX 55.6Event APEX -1.76Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 999, 228, 6933

/ 100 compat

Projected

118.7 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 999, 228, 6933

Auto

29.6 26%

Teleop

64.0 57%

Endgame

19.0 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8085, 7153, 10245

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8085, 7153, 10245

Auto

29.4 53%

Teleop

12.8 23%

Endgame

13.3 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.8 · Blue 1.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score118.7pts

Blue projected score51.7pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 67
Score range: 29–142
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 236 vs event baseline 129.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

302.8Season APEX271.6

29.6Auto29.4

64Teleop12.8

19Endgame13.3

0Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	33
teleop	66	88
endgame	8	29
foul	0	0
total	86	150

Result

Final score

86 – 150

Prediction missed · off by 65.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.