Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

90.29 – 218.24

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

85 – 357

Prediction correct · off by 72 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 220.2 ±12.2

4572Barlow Robotics

Season APEX 90.4Event APEX 33.64Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11409Alchemist's Return

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX 12.68Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3654TechTigers

Season APEX 82Event APEX 43.97Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 420.9 ±11.2

558Elm City Robo Squad

Season APEX 78.3Event APEX 18.67Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

176Aces High

Season APEX 277.5Event APEX 196.37Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11464Lancer Nation Robotics

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 3.2Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4572, 11409, 3654

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.3 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4572, 11409, 3654

Auto

9.1 10%

Teleop

59.8 67%

Endgame

20.0 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 558, 176, 11464

/ 100 compat

Projected

218.2 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 558, 176, 11464

Auto

39.6 19%

Teleop

118.1 55%

Endgame

55.3 26%

Strengths

· 176 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.73 · Blue 2.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score90.3pts

Blue projected score218.2pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -127.9
Score range: 67–241
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 442 vs event baseline 128.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

220.2Season APEX420.9

9.1Auto39.6

59.8Teleop118.1

20Endgame55.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	61
teleop	39	234
endgame	15	62
foul	0	0
total	85	357

Result

Final score

85 – 357

Prediction correct · off by 72 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.