Qualification · Qualification 45
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
122.65 – 0
83%17%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
143 – 20
Prediction correct · off by 20.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 273.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 105Event APEX 15.99Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 43.5Event APEX 30Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 124.7Event APEX 76.66Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 166.6 ±13.3
Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 3.94Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 2.22Rank 31Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 40.1Event APEX -10.71Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1071, 1099, 7127
59
/ 100 compatProjected
122.7 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 1071, 1099, 7127
Auto
20.1 17%
Teleop
58.2 50%
Endgame
38.7 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10133, 2712, 9193
0
/ 100 compatProjected
-4.6 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 10133, 2712, 9193
Auto
0.4 0%
Teleop
-21.7 100%
Endgame
15.4 0%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.12 · Blue 0.69
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score122.7pts
Blue projected score-4.6pts
Red win probability83%
Event bonus sample158alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 41%, blue 30%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 122.7
- Score range
- -23–146
- Upset likelihood
- 17%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
273.2Season APEX166.6
20.1Auto0.4
58.2Teleop-21.7
38.7Endgame15.4
24Consistency34
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 30 | 7 |
| teleop | 68 | 3 |
| endgame | 40 | 10 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 143 | 20 |
Result
Final score
143 – 20
Prediction correct · off by 20.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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