Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

50.89 – 47.78

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

88 – 12

Prediction correct · off by 36.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 205 ±11

2064The Panther Project

Season APEX 42Event APEX 19.56Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7153Aetos Dios (Eagles of Zeus)

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 11.07Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

558Elm City Robo Squad

Season APEX 78.3Event APEX 20.26Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 235.1 ±12.8

5746Human Error

Season APEX 62.4Event APEX 23.55Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10266Hopkins Galvanized Goats

Season APEX 50Event APEX -1.96Rank 29Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

999MechaRAMS

Season APEX 122.7Event APEX 26.19Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2064, 7153, 558

/ 100 compat

Projected

50.9 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 2064, 7153, 558

Auto

20.6 40%

Teleop

10.4 20%

Endgame

20.9 40%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5746, 10266, 999

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5746, 10266, 999

Auto

17.4 38%

Teleop

16.5 36%

Endgame

12.1 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.4 · Blue 1.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score50.9pts

Blue projected score47.8pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 3.1
Score range: 25–74
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 100 vs event baseline 127.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

205Season APEX235.1

20.6Auto17.4

10.4Teleop16.5

20.9Endgame12.1

0Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	12
teleop	45	0
endgame	19	0
foul	0	0
total	88	12

Result

Final score

88 – 12

Prediction correct · off by 36.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.