Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

165.55 – 260.92

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

127 – 252

Prediction correct · off by 23.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 309.8 ±11.7

8085MOJO

Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 49.3Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

228GUS

Season APEX 116.1Event APEX 87.89Rank 8Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5746Human Error

Season APEX 62.4Event APEX 28.36Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 411.1 ±9.4

4909Bionics

Season APEX 159.8Event APEX 109.05Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

230Gaelhawks

Season APEX 126.6Event APEX 84.05Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7127LongMetal Robotics

Season APEX 124.7Event APEX 67.82Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8085, 228, 5746

/ 100 compat

Projected

165.6 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8085, 228, 5746

Auto

25.4 15%

Teleop

83.6 51%

Endgame

55.4 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4909, 230, 7127

/ 100 compat

Projected

260.9 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4909, 230, 7127

Auto

53.9 21%

Teleop

141.8 55%

Endgame

61.4 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.92 · Blue 2.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score165.6pts

Blue projected score260.9pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -95.4
Score range: 144–283
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 379 vs event baseline 122.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

309.8Season APEX411.1

25.4Auto53.9

83.6Teleop141.8

55.4Endgame61.4

0Consistency97

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	19
teleop	54	136
endgame	12	77
foul	20	20
total	127	252

Result

Final score

127 – 252

Prediction correct · off by 23.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.