Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

43.13 – 64.99

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

28 – 58

Prediction correct · off by 11.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 177.3 ±13.3

5856Bullbots

Season APEX 36.9Event APEX 4.53Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10266Hopkins Galvanized Goats

Season APEX 50Event APEX -0.37Rank 29Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4572Barlow Robotics

Season APEX 90.4Event APEX 38.97Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 221.3 ±12.2

173RAGE Robotics ⚙️

Season APEX 117.2Event APEX 50.43Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6933Archytas

Season APEX 64Event APEX 25.82Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9193Short-Circuited Eagles

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX -11.26Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5856, 10266, 4572

/ 100 compat

Projected

43.1 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5856, 10266, 4572

Auto

16.4 48%

Teleop

33.1 97%

Endgame

-15.2 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 173, 6933, 9193

/ 100 compat

Projected

65 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 173, 6933, 9193

Auto

28.1 43%

Teleop

15.3 24%

Endgame

21.5 33%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.28 · Blue 1.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score43.1pts

Blue projected score65pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -21.9
Score range: 21–87
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 86 vs event baseline 124.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

177.3Season APEX221.3

16.4Auto28.1

33.1Teleop15.3

-15.2Endgame21.5

39Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	23
teleop	10	25
endgame	5	5
foul	0	5
total	28	58

Result

Final score

28 – 58

Prediction correct · off by 11.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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