Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

37.3 – 277.35

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

75 – 335

Prediction correct · off by 47.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 216.7 ±11.7

3654TechTigers

Season APEX 82Event APEX 39.4Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10266Hopkins Galvanized Goats

Season APEX 50Event APEX -5.48Rank 29Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7153Aetos Dios (Eagles of Zeus)

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 3.38Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 456.9 ±10.5

6328Mechanical Advantage

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 243.51Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7907Spartan Robotics

Season APEX 24Event APEX -13.81Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8085MOJO

Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 47.65Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3654, 10266, 7153

/ 100 compat

Projected

37.3 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3654, 10266, 7153

Auto

25.6 72%

Teleop

16.9 48%

Endgame

-7.1 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6328, 7907, 8085

/ 100 compat

Projected

277.3 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6328, 7907, 8085

Auto

43.3 15%

Teleop

168.0 60%

Endgame

70.7 25%

Strengths

· 6328 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.51 · Blue 2.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score37.3pts

Blue projected score277.3pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -240
Score range: 15–299
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 410 vs event baseline 120.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

216.7Season APEX456.9

25.6Auto43.3

16.9Teleop168

-7.1Endgame70.7

32Consistency66

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	68
teleop	27	209
endgame	23	58
foul	0	0
total	75	335

Result

Final score

75 – 335

Prediction correct · off by 47.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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