Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

94.95 – 156.31

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

137 – 158

Prediction correct · off by 21.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 271.9 ±12

716Who'sCTEKS

Season APEX 72Event APEX 13.43Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9193Short-Circuited Eagles

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX -15.98Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4909Bionics

Season APEX 159.8Event APEX 97.5Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 318.8 ±11

8889Project W

Season APEX 101.8Event APEX 30.75Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

230Gaelhawks

Season APEX 126.6Event APEX 88.21Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4572Barlow Robotics

Season APEX 90.4Event APEX 37.35Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 716, 9193, 4909

/ 100 compat

Projected

95 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 716, 9193, 4909

Auto

25.2 27%

Teleop

29.7 32%

Endgame

38.0 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8889, 230, 4572

/ 100 compat

Projected

156.3 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8889, 230, 4572

Auto

33.3 22%

Teleop

86.7 57%

Endgame

30.9 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.14 · Blue 1.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score95pts

Blue projected score156.3pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -61.4
Score range: 73–178
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 295 vs event baseline 119.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

271.9Season APEX318.8

25.2Auto33.3

29.7Teleop86.7

38Endgame30.9

49Consistency98

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	40
teleop	74	85
endgame	42	33
foul	0	0
total	137	158

Result

Final score

137 – 158

Prediction correct · off by 21.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.