Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

261.33 – 58.01

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

258 – 130

Prediction correct · off by 37.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 450.8 ±10.5

176Aces High

Season APEX 277.5Event APEX 197.15Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8085MOJO

Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 51.43Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2064The Panther Project

Season APEX 42Event APEX 12.75Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 267.5 ±11.7

7153Aetos Dios (Eagles of Zeus)

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX -11.3Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7127LongMetal Robotics

Season APEX 124.7Event APEX 53.5Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2785Prometheus

Season APEX 58.1Event APEX 15.81Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 176, 8085, 2064

/ 100 compat

Projected

261.3 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 176, 8085, 2064

Auto

63.4 25%

Teleop

186.7 72%

Endgame

8.5 3%

Strengths

· 176 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7153, 7127, 2785

/ 100 compat

Projected

58 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7153, 7127, 2785

Auto

30.5 47%

Teleop

17.4 27%

Endgame

16.9 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.36 · Blue 0.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score261.3pts

Blue projected score58pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 203.3
Score range: 36–283
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 388 vs event baseline 121.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

450.8Season APEX267.5

63.4Auto30.5

186.7Teleop17.4

8.5Endgame16.9

14Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	36
teleop	129	61
endgame	103	33
foul	0	0
total	258	130

Result

Final score

258 – 130

Prediction correct · off by 37.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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