Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

212.06 – 9.98

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

205 – 8

Prediction correct · off by 4.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 373.2 ±10.4

7127LongMetal Robotics

Season APEX 124.7Event APEX 101.59Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8085MOJO

Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 59.22Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

173RAGE Robotics ⚙️

Season APEX 117.2Event APEX 51.25Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 186.8 ±12.2

999MechaRAMS

Season APEX 122.7Event APEX 19.86Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9193Short-Circuited Eagles

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX -6Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7907Spartan Robotics

Season APEX 24Event APEX -3.88Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7127, 8085, 173

/ 100 compat

Projected

212.1 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 7127, 8085, 173

Auto

39.0 19%

Teleop

110.5 55%

Endgame

50.8 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 999, 9193, 7907

/ 100 compat

Projected

10 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 999, 9193, 7907

Auto

3.5 95%

Teleop

-7.4 0%

Endgame

7.6 100%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.38 · Blue 0.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score212.1pts

Blue projected score10pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 202.1
Score range: -17–239
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 213 vs event baseline 150.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

373.2Season APEX186.8

39Auto3.5

110.5Teleop-7.4

50.8Endgame7.6

45Consistency15

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	4
teleop	115	0
endgame	48	4
foul	0	0
total	205	8

Result

Final score

205 – 8

Prediction correct · off by 4.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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