Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

70.84 – 237.7

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

113 – 241

Prediction correct · off by 22.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 270.7 ±12.2

4572Barlow Robotics

Season APEX 90.4Event APEX 23.52Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10245WAMS

Season APEX 55.6Event APEX -3.69Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7127LongMetal Robotics

Season APEX 124.7Event APEX 51.01Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 388.8 ±11.7

10592Stamford Cyber-Hird TSA

Season APEX 47.3Event APEX 31.18Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

176Aces High

Season APEX 277.5Event APEX 202.31Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6933Archytas

Season APEX 64Event APEX 4.21Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4572, 10245, 7127

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.8 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4572, 10245, 7127

Auto

17.8 25%

Teleop

45.1 64%

Endgame

8.1 11%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10592, 176, 6933

/ 100 compat

Projected

237.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 10592, 176, 6933

Auto

44.1 19%

Teleop

138.7 60%

Endgame

46.9 20%

Strengths

· 176 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.7 · Blue 2.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score70.8pts

Blue projected score237.7pts

Red win probability11%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -166.9
Score range: 50–259
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 354 vs event baseline 118.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

270.7Season APEX388.8

17.8Auto44.1

45.1Teleop138.7

8.1Endgame46.9

77Consistency32

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	74
teleop	58	155
endgame	21	12
foul	5	0
total	113	241

Result

Final score

113 – 241

Prediction correct · off by 22.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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