Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

74.44 – 133.26

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

47 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 37.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 209.4 ±12.2

5746Human Error

Season APEX 62.4Event APEX 14.27Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2064The Panther Project

Season APEX 42Event APEX 37.11Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1071Team MAX

Season APEX 105Event APEX 23.06Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 265.2 ±12.2

8085MOJO

Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 72.02Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4572Barlow Robotics

Season APEX 90.4Event APEX 46.35Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1099DiscoTechs

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX 14.89Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5746, 2064, 1071

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.4 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5746, 2064, 1071

Auto

15.8 22%

Teleop

52.6 74%

Endgame

2.3 3%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8085, 4572, 1099

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.3 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8085, 4572, 1099

Auto

22.1 17%

Teleop

84.1 66%

Endgame

21.2 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.98 · Blue 1.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score74.4pts

Blue projected score133.3pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -58.8
Score range: 53–154
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 133 vs event baseline 116.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

209.4Season APEX265.2

15.8Auto22.1

52.6Teleop84.1

2.3Endgame21.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	14
teleop	19	42
endgame	12	30
foul	0	0
total	47	86

Result

Final score

47 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 37.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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